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      <title>Racing Models, Not Opinions: How We Ran Wildfire ML R&amp;D for Pyronear</title>
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      <pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;In 2024, we wrote about &lt;a href=&#34;https://earthtoolsmaker.org/posts/protecting-the-forest-early-forest-fire-detector/&#34;&gt;building an early forest fire detector&lt;/a&gt; with the NGO&#xA;&lt;a href=&#34;https://pyronear.org&#34;&gt;Pyronear&lt;/a&gt;: cameras on antenna towers, a YOLO object&#xA;detector (a fast model that draws boxes around what it finds in a single&#xA;image) running on a Raspberry Pi, and real fires detected from 35 kilometers&#xA;away. This post is&#xA;the next chapter — and it is less about a model than about a &lt;strong&gt;method&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Over the past months we helped Pyronear answer one question: &lt;em&gt;can a model that&#xA;watches smoke evolve over time cut false alarms without missing fires?&lt;/em&gt; The&#xA;answer turned out to be yes — the winning model raises &lt;strong&gt;4× fewer false&#xA;alarms&lt;/strong&gt; than the production baseline while catching slightly &lt;em&gt;more&lt;/em&gt; fires.&#xA;But the part worth writing about is &lt;em&gt;how&lt;/em&gt; we got there: a literature survey&#xA;distilled into a shortlist, a standardized experiment harness, and a&#xA;leaderboard where five candidate models — including the current production&#xA;system — raced on the same frozen test set.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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