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    <title>Temporal Models on EarthToolsMaker</title>
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    <description>Recent content in Temporal Models on EarthToolsMaker</description>
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      <title>Racing Models, Not Opinions: How We Ran Wildfire ML R&amp;D for Pyronear</title>
      <link>https://earthtoolsmaker.org/posts/racing-models-not-opinions/</link>
      <pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;In 2024, we wrote about &lt;a href=&#34;https://earthtoolsmaker.org/posts/protecting-the-forest-early-forest-fire-detector/&#34;&gt;building an early forest fire detector&lt;/a&gt; with the NGO&#xA;&lt;a href=&#34;https://pyronear.org&#34;&gt;Pyronear&lt;/a&gt;: cameras on antenna towers, a YOLO object&#xA;detector (a fast model that draws boxes around what it finds in a single&#xA;image) running on a Raspberry Pi, and real fires detected from 35 kilometers&#xA;away. This post is&#xA;the next chapter — and it is less about a model than about a &lt;strong&gt;method&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Over the past months we helped Pyronear answer one question: &lt;em&gt;can a model that&#xA;watches smoke evolve over time cut false alarms without missing fires?&lt;/em&gt; The&#xA;answer turned out to be yes — the winning model raises &lt;strong&gt;4× fewer false&#xA;alarms&lt;/strong&gt; than the production baseline while catching slightly &lt;em&gt;more&lt;/em&gt; fires.&#xA;But the part worth writing about is &lt;em&gt;how&lt;/em&gt; we got there: a literature survey&#xA;distilled into a shortlist, a standardized experiment harness, and a&#xA;leaderboard where five candidate models — including the current production&#xA;system — raced on the same frozen test set.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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      <title>Smoke Is a Behavior: Inside Pyronear&#39;s Temporal Wildfire Detection Model</title>
      <link>https://earthtoolsmaker.org/posts/smoke-is-a-behavior/</link>
      <pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;In &lt;a href=&#34;https://earthtoolsmaker.org/posts/racing-models-not-opinions/&#34;&gt;the previous post&lt;/a&gt; we&#xA;told the story of &lt;em&gt;how&lt;/em&gt; the new smoke verifier for&#xA;&lt;a href=&#34;https://pyronear.org&#34;&gt;Pyronear&lt;/a&gt; was selected: a literature survey, five&#xA;candidate models, one leaderboard, one winner with 4× fewer false alarms.&#xA;This post opens up the winner itself — the &lt;strong&gt;bbox-tube temporal model&lt;/strong&gt;&#xA;(&lt;em&gt;bbox&lt;/em&gt; for the bounding boxes a detector draws around candidate smoke,&#xA;&lt;em&gt;tube&lt;/em&gt; for the way those boxes are linked across frames) now&#xA;&lt;a href=&#34;https://huggingface.co/pyronear/temporal-model&#34;&gt;released as a versioned package&lt;/a&gt;&#xA;— and walks through how it judges a sequence of camera frames, stage by&#xA;stage, with figures computed from real wildfire sequences.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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